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Zillow Revises Up Their 2026 Home Price Forecast

September 26, 2025
Zillow Revises Up Their 2026 Home Price Forecast

Big change from Zillow. They now see U.S. home prices rising +1.2% through August 2026. Just a few months ago, they were calling for declines. In fact, their forecast earlier this year was -1.7% over 12 months.

Why the flip? Fewer new listings. Supply is staying tight, and that’s holding prices up. Now, compare this to Reventure. Their latest forecast shows a -1.2% drop over the same period. Two very different stories.

Zillow is one of the few big names publishing housing forecasts. So when they change direction, people notice. Let’s find that out by comparing Zillow and Reventure’s housing market forecasts for some of the biggest metros:

1. New York, NY

Zillow says +0.7%. Reventure says +4.0%. That’s a big difference. Reventure’s call points to an appreciating market, meaning more demand, tighter supply, and prices rising faster. Zillow is cautious, almost flat. If you’re in New York, the real story may depend on how much buyers can actually absorb.

2. Los Angeles, CA

Zillow shows +0.6%, while Reventure projects -2.5%. Two completely different takes. Zillow expects stability, but Reventure is flagging a declining market. That means more sellers, fewer buyers, and longer days on market. If you’re watching LA, you’ll want to see if demand can really keep up with inventory.

3. Chicago, IL

Both are positive here, but with very different numbers. Zillow says +1.2%, Reventure says +5.5%. That’s strong appreciation if Reventure’s right. It signals buyers competing and supply staying tight. Zillow’s forecast looks safer, but either way, Chicago is one of the brighter spots compared to other big metros.

4. Dallas, TX

Zillow predicts just -0.4%, basically flat. Reventure expects a sharp -7.5% drop. That’s a warning sign. A declining market means more sellers, weaker demand, and falling prices ahead. Dallas has been hot for years, but this split shows risk. Zillow is calm, Reventure is sounding the alarm.

5. Houston, TX

Houston also shows weakness. Zillow is at -0.3%, while Reventure is deeper at -3.5%. Both forecasts suggest softer demand and more sellers on the market. Price cuts could become more common. Houston may not crash, but the outlook feels sluggish compared to the momentum seen just a few years ago.

Zillow and Reventure 2026 forecasts show sharp splits across major U.S. metros

Zillow and Reventure 2026 forecasts show sharp splits across major U.S. metros. Access the above table here. [Link]

6. Washington, DC

The nation’s capital looks sluggish. Zillow expects -0.7%, Reventure is slightly better at -0.3%. Still, neither forecast shows real growth. This points to a stable but slow market. Buyers and sellers may face a bit of a stalemate, with little reason for prices to move dramatically either way.

7. Atlanta, GA

Here, the two forecasts split sharply. Zillow is upbeat at +1.2%, while Reventure is bearish at -3.8%. Reventure’s call points to a declining market, which means slower sales, more price cuts, and weaker demand. Zillow is banking on tight supply. Atlanta feels like one of the most uncertain bets right now.

8. Philadelphia, PA

Both forecasts are positive. Zillow is at +1.8%, Reventure is higher at +4.2%. That leans toward an appreciating market. More buyers, fewer sellers, and prices that could keep climbing. Zillow takes the conservative route, but even their number shows stability. Philly looks healthier compared to many of its peer metros.

9. Miami, FL

Miami’s outlook couldn’t be more divided. Zillow says +1.5%, while Reventure warns of a -4.2% drop. Reventure’s view suggests a declining market, with more sellers and weaker demand. Zillow still sees resilience, possibly supported by limited supply. For Miami homeowners, the truth may land somewhere between these two extremes.

10. Phoenix, AZ

Zillow has Phoenix flat at 0%. Reventure projects a steep -6.0% decline. That’s the definition of a declining market, i.e.,  more listings, slower demand, falling prices. Phoenix has seen huge swings in recent years. Zillow’s neutral stance feels cautious, but Reventure is preparing for a rougher correction ahead.

Why Rely on Reventure for Local Insights?

Zillow is leaning on tight supply. Fewer new listings mean less inventory, and that keeps prices from falling too fast. Reventure reads the market differently. Their score system shows fading demand, more sellers, and price cuts building up. That’s why their forecasts often point to sharper declines ahead.

The truth is, both stories matter. But accuracy is what counts. Reventure’s housing forecast is currently performing 6x better than Zillow’s

And with the Reventure App Premium Plan, you can check the 12-month forecast for your exact ZIP Code in Florida. For just $49 a month, you also unlock 40+ premium housing data points, which is less than 0.02% of the cost of buying a home.

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