Thinking about buying or selling a home in Dallas? You’re not alone. The housing market here has been one of the hottest in the country, but 2025 looks very different. Prices are falling, inventories are building, and sellers are cutting deals. Buyers now face a market that feels far less frenzied than just a few years ago.
According to the data available on Reventure App, Dallas is shifting into a clear cooling phase. In this update, we’ll break down how values are moving, what’s happening across local counties, and what the forecast says for the next year.
Dallas, TX’s Home Value Growth YoY Dropped to -3.7% in 2025
Home values in Dallas have taken a sharp turn. The year 2025 recorded a drop of -3.7%. This marks the weakest point since 2010. According to the data available on Reventure App, the decline follows two years of major swings.
Dallas, TX’s home value growth dropped to -3.7% in 2025. Access the home value YoY growth graph of the metro here. [Link]
In 2021, values jumped by 19.6%. The surge peaked in 2022 at 22.4%. That pace could not hold. By 2023, growth fell to -3.0%, and 2024 stayed flat at 0.1%. The negative reading in 2025 shows that the cooling is not over.
The trend reflects a reset after years of fast price gains. Buyers are more cautious. Rising costs and tighter lending play a role. For sellers, this means longer waits and lower offers. For buyers, it may mean more choices. Dallas is no longer a runaway market, but one finding balance.
Housing Market Trends in the Counties of Dallas, TX, in 2025
Dallas County is leading the region in decline. Home values dropped by -4.9% this year. Price cuts are high at 35.4%. Inventory reached 7,497 homes. According to the data available on Reventure App, Dallas is also 21.5% overvalued, making affordability a major issue for its 2.6 million people.
The number of homes for sale in Dallas County reached 7,497 in 2025. Access the above map here. [Link]
Tarrant County shows a similar path. Prices fell -3.4%, with 35.8% of listings seeing cuts. Inventory rose to 6,398 homes. The market is 22.2% overvalued, adding strain for buyers. Collin County dropped by -4.6%, one of the steepest falls. Price cuts are even higher at 37.7%. With over 1.1 million residents, affordability is stretched at a 3.9 value-to-income ratio.
Other counties also reflect cooling. Denton fell -4.1% with 34.4% of listings cut. Kaufman, Hunt, and Parker saw smaller drops but remain heavily overvalued, above 31% each. Johnson, Ellis, and Wise counties also posted declines between -1.4% and -2.6%, though at lower inventory levels.
The 2025 trend across counties is clear. Home values are slipping. Price cuts are widespread. Inventories are building. Buyers now see more options, while sellers face a tougher market.
Dallas, TX’s Housing Market Predictions for 2025 – 2026
The forecast score for Dallas fell to 29 out of 100 in 2025. This places the metro deep in a declining market, according to the data available on Reventure App. A declining market means reduced buyer demand, more sellers, longer days on market, and more price cuts. It also points to future home price declines.
Dallas, TX’s Home price forecast score reached 29/ 100 in 2025. Access the home price forecast score chart here. [Link]
This is a sharp change from past years when Dallas was a hot sellers’ market. The score peaked at 76 in 2021-22 but has fallen every year since. With a reading well below 45, Dallas is now expected to stay weak through 2026. Buyers may wait for further drops, while sellers face pressure to adjust prices. The next year looks set for more cooling, not recovery.
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